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SFA Research Corner: Consumers May Find Themselves Between a Rock and a Hard Place

Provided by Structured Finance Association

The combination of payment relief programs and unprecedented support through stimulus payments have kept loan delinquencies and defaults low despite elevated levels of unemployment. New data shows that while deferral programs were readily available and utilized at the onset of the pandemic, this is not the case today. If recent labor market gains slow with rising COVID-19 cases, and the likelihood of a generous stimulus package disappears with a split Congress, some borrowers may find themselves caught between a rock and a hard place. Impacted households forced to reprioritize their wallet may leave some lenders unpaid, a trend that we are starting to see in auto loans.